Ladies and gentlemen, the first girls forecast is listed below followed
by comments. The boys will follow either tonight or tomorrow. We are about a third of the way through the season with
287 games logged and a lot will change between now and when the
Sectional Seedings come out. So don't yell I'll do my best to explain.
I do want to preface this by pointing out that the model gives each team a percentage value. This is the order of those values. It's based on what round in the tournament they should get to, so a team that gets a .900 in the model would be projected to make the final, regardless of seeding position.
Class AA
(1) Bethlehem 6-0
(16) Bye
(8) Catholic Central 4-4
(9) Columbia 4-3
(5) Bishop Maginn 6-3
(12) Niskayuna 1-4
(4) Colonie 5-2
(13) Schenectady 0-6
(3) Shaker 5-0
(14) Bye
(6) Guilderland 3-2
(11) Ballston Spa 1-6
(7) Shenendehowa 3-1
(10) Saratoga Springs 3-3
(2) Albany 6-0
(15) Bye
First things first, the model gives the Suburban the top spot even though both the top teams in the Big 10 and Suburban have the same record. That seems logical to me. Bethlehem is performing greater than the historical averages would suggest against their schedule than Albany is against theirs. Bethlehem also has a greater MOV. The same two points can be made for Albany over Shaker. At least the model is consistent. Shen might be the only one that is slightly out of line if you put them in order by winning percentage and that has to do with their really low MOV. History only has them as a .500 club at their current rate. Finally, Bethlehem is the only team that is close to the assigned value where the model puts them in the final outright. Bethlehem and Albany are both over the threshold for the final four and Shaker and Colonie are close.
Class A
(1) Troy 4-1
(16) Bye
(8) Mohonasen 2-5
(9) Amsterdam 2-4
(5) Averill Park 4-3
(12) Bye
(4) Queensbury 5-1
(13) Bye
(3) Glens Falls 4-2
(14) Bye
(6) South Glens Falls 6-2
(11) Lansingburgh 0-6
(7) Scotia-Glenville 4-3
(10) Burnt Hills 1-6
(2) Holy Names 6-0
(15) Bye
This one gets a little more complicated. Troy (you can put an asterisk next to this one because I haven't heard if the girls are playing in AA as the boys are) the only one here who even crosses the final four mark, though Holy Names, Glens Falls and Queensbury are close. So why does Troy outscore Holy Names even though they have a loss and two less wins? The answer has mostly to do with who each team has played. Troy's opponents not only have larger enrollments, they are also performing better than expected by 2 full games over an 18 game schedule. Holy Names opponents are performing 2.5 games below average in an 18 game schedule, so Troy's opponents are 4.5 games better than average than Holy Names' and have larger enrollments. It gets substantially worse from there as I now have to explain how Glens Falls is ahead of Queensbury even though Queensbury has now beaten them twice. Oh yeah, and South Glens Falls is two spots below Queensbury even though they beat them once. The answer is a mishmash of unbalanced schedules, MOV's and expected winning percentages all falling just right and would take half my day to explain. This one will sort itself out as they complete their league schedules and their common opponents come into line. These are the inherent dangers of running the model so early in the season.
Class B
(1) Watervliet 6-1
(16) Chatham 3-5
(8) Broadalbin-Perth 3-3
(9) Corinth 4-2
(5) Greenville 5-2
(12) Catskill 3-5
(4) Ravena 4-2
(13) Johnstown 2-4
(3) Tamarac 7-1
(14) Hudson 4-4
(6) Emma Willard 5-2
(11) Cobleskill 4-3
(7) Fonda-Fultonville 3-4
(10) Schalmont 5-2
(2) Taconic Hills 6-2
(15) Cohoes 5-3
Unranked: Granville, Albany Leadership, Bishop Gibbons, Coxsackie-Athens, Schuylerville, Hudson Falls, Ichabod Crane, Cairo-Durham
On the surface I'm ok with this one. The top three are right regardless of order and the order will straighten itself out. There are some problems within the Colonial Council teams much like with the Foothills in A, but again, they'll work out themselves in the next few weeks. The interesting thing about this one is that none of the teams are above the final four grading. I'm curious if that changes as the year goes on and Watervliet hits their league opponents.
Class C
(1) Fort Plain 6-0
(16) Schoharie 2-3
(8) Berne-Knox 4-1
(9) Duanesburg 4-2
(5) Middleburgh 4-1
(12) Mekeel Academy 2-4
(4) Lake George 6-1
(13) Whitehall 2-3
(3) Waterford 6-2
(14) Canajoharie 4-4
(6) Hoosic Valley 5-2
(11) Greenwich 4-3
(7) Galway 4-2
(10) Hoosick Falls 4-2
(2) Maple Hill 9-1
(15) Mechanicville 4-3
Unranked: Albany Academy, Mayfield, Stillwater, Saratoga Catholic, Berlin, Hadley-Luzerne, Rensselaer, Cambridge, Voorheesville
What I believe you'll see in the C bracket is a ton of movement from week to week. Hoosic Valley has already moved up one from my initial run two days ago and the separation between 2 and 8 is pretty slim. I think the biggest shock here is how low Berne-Knox is, but any bracket that can put a team of that caliber 8th under any circumstances is going to be a tough bracket to win for any of the teams. Fort Plain is further ahead of Maple Hill than Maple Hill is of Galway at number 7 and that is almost solely due to their undefeated record. Any way you slice it this bracket is packed and I think the model is doing a fairly good job so far of sorting it out. Remember, it's made for a full season of information not a third.
Class D
(1) Fort Edward 5-0
(16) St. Johnsville 0-3
(8) Hartford 1-4
(9) Northville 3-5
(5) Loudonville Christian 3-2
(12) Salem 1-4
(4) Fort Ann 6-0
(13) Doane Stuart 1-5
(3) Heatly 5-2
(14) Sharon Springs 0-2
(6) Germantown 2-3
(11) New Lebanon 2-4
(7) Warrensburg 3-3
(10) North Warren 2-4
(2) Argyle 4-2
(15) Bolton 0-6
Unranked: Hawthorne Valley
Let me start by saying that Fort Edward is the only team to have a forecast over 1.000 which means the model thinks they should win the whole thing, not just get to the final. I tend to agree with that sentiment. The most notable surprise here is that Fort Ann is only 4th even though they are undefeated and beat Argyle by 20. The reason for this is that other than Argyle not one team they have played is doing anywhere near as well as can be expected from historical trends. In fact, they are a combined 4-19 excluding their losses to Fort Ann. This will work itself out when each team plays everyone in the Adirondack League and their opponents expected percentages even out.
This wasn't bad for a first run especially when most teams haven't even made it once through their in conference schedules. The accuracy and reliability will improve with each game that's played. I'll be working on the boys forecast tonight and hopefully I can get it done, if not, tomorrow sometime.
Sunday, December 30, 2012
Friday, December 28, 2012
Boy's Balance of Power Shifts Away from Big 10
There are two huge scores tonight in boys basketball. Couple them together with the Green Tech win over Schenectady and it looks like there is a trend away from the Big 10 atop the AA bracket. Let's sum up what just happened in the in-section games.
Schenectady lost to Green Tech by 31
CBA lost to Bethlehem by 11
LaSalle lost to Colonie by 6
Without playing a game, the current top team in the Big 10 took a blow to their strength of schedule by losses from the three teams directly behind them. Troy has a 2-1 record against those 3 teams and a positive point differential of 13. Though at this point we can probably take Troy's loss as a bit of a fluke, Green Tech's MOV is 2 and a half times greater than that after just one game.
CBA's 11 point loss is exactly the same MOV Bethlehem had over Colonie, whose 6 point win over LaSalle is just 2 points different than LaSalle's loss to CBA. That puts CBA on roughly the same line as Colonie, with Bethlehem a few baskets ahead. Troy falls somewhere in the middle, though closer to CBA than Bethlehem. And this doesn't even talk about Shaker who in the 3 games they have with common opponents of Bethlehem have a 70 MOV, while Bethlehem has a 72. We'll find out what the forecast says in a couple more days, but using just these MOV's, I would put the AA in this order:
1. Green Tech
2. Shaker
3. Bethlehem
4. Troy
5a. CBA
5b. Colonie
This is far from a perfect analysis, but three days ago it looked a lot different.
Schenectady lost to Green Tech by 31
CBA lost to Bethlehem by 11
LaSalle lost to Colonie by 6
Without playing a game, the current top team in the Big 10 took a blow to their strength of schedule by losses from the three teams directly behind them. Troy has a 2-1 record against those 3 teams and a positive point differential of 13. Though at this point we can probably take Troy's loss as a bit of a fluke, Green Tech's MOV is 2 and a half times greater than that after just one game.
CBA's 11 point loss is exactly the same MOV Bethlehem had over Colonie, whose 6 point win over LaSalle is just 2 points different than LaSalle's loss to CBA. That puts CBA on roughly the same line as Colonie, with Bethlehem a few baskets ahead. Troy falls somewhere in the middle, though closer to CBA than Bethlehem. And this doesn't even talk about Shaker who in the 3 games they have with common opponents of Bethlehem have a 70 MOV, while Bethlehem has a 72. We'll find out what the forecast says in a couple more days, but using just these MOV's, I would put the AA in this order:
1. Green Tech
2. Shaker
3. Bethlehem
4. Troy
5a. CBA
5b. Colonie
This is far from a perfect analysis, but three days ago it looked a lot different.
Thursday, December 27, 2012
A New Favorite in Boys Class AA?
A few nights ago I wrote about how Saratoga Catholic blew out Fort Plain by 47 points. It had the potential to change the entire landscape in the WAC and it was certainly not a score I expected to see. Tonight there is another score that has the potential to change everything in boys Class AA. Fresh off Schenectady's 1 point loss to CBA and blowout of Bishop Gibbons, Green Tech returned the favor beating Schenectady by 31 points.
Green Tech only has 6 Section 2 teams on its schedule and aside from 2 games with Albany Academy (who also plays a light Section schedule with only 5 in section games) this was their biggest Section 2 test. I know Albany Academy in the past has chosen to play in other post season tournaments instead of Section 2 but I don't know what their plans are this year or if Green Tech has similar aspirations. I'll try to find out in the next couple days. What I do know is that Green Tech is now a legitimate threat to unseat the Big 10 in Sectionals and may even be the new favorite.
On another front, I ran the girls Sectional Forecast tonight and though I'm not posting the results until after the Christmas tournaments are complete, there are some surprises. I'll get into details within the post, but where we stand right now, those surprises do make some sense and reinforce my worry about running it so early in the season. Even so, it's a good starting point and with each new Forecast you can see how more games influences the brackets. It's also worth mentioning that unlike other polls, there is no predetermined bias with each new poll. Each teams standing is independent of their previous standing and only relies on the newest full picture information available. So don't worry if your favorite team is lower than you think they should be. Schedules aren't balanced and things will even out. Each team will end up where they belong in the end.
Green Tech only has 6 Section 2 teams on its schedule and aside from 2 games with Albany Academy (who also plays a light Section schedule with only 5 in section games) this was their biggest Section 2 test. I know Albany Academy in the past has chosen to play in other post season tournaments instead of Section 2 but I don't know what their plans are this year or if Green Tech has similar aspirations. I'll try to find out in the next couple days. What I do know is that Green Tech is now a legitimate threat to unseat the Big 10 in Sectionals and may even be the new favorite.
On another front, I ran the girls Sectional Forecast tonight and though I'm not posting the results until after the Christmas tournaments are complete, there are some surprises. I'll get into details within the post, but where we stand right now, those surprises do make some sense and reinforce my worry about running it so early in the season. Even so, it's a good starting point and with each new Forecast you can see how more games influences the brackets. It's also worth mentioning that unlike other polls, there is no predetermined bias with each new poll. Each teams standing is independent of their previous standing and only relies on the newest full picture information available. So don't worry if your favorite team is lower than you think they should be. Schedules aren't balanced and things will even out. Each team will end up where they belong in the end.
Saturday, December 22, 2012
Bizarre Score of the Night
It's not Troy's win over CBA. However important in the Big 10 standings, it's not all that shocking and especially not bizarre. It must be the Argyle boys 103 point performance versus Warrensburg then? While you don't see 100 points in a game too often it does happen and Argyle has been averaging 37 MOV's in Adirodack League play.
No, I'm talking about Saratoga Catholic's 47 point win over Fort Plain. Fort Plain had been undefeated in WAC play and though every game had been close with the exception of their win over Galway, the same could be said for Saratoga Catholic. SC additionally had a loss to St. Johnsville who was 0-3 excluding that win. The MOV was 9 points more than SC's win over Galway who is has yet to win a game and is averaging losses of 40 points per game.
I would not have been surprised if you told me it was a 4 or 7 point win. With Galway the one exception this is probably the most competitive division in terms of how evenly matched each team has been so far. 9 games have been under 10 points, 4 have been 10 or over and the other 4 were games in which Galway played. I will be interesting to see how each team responds to this game. Whether Fort Plain bounces back or folds, and if SC can build on this and take it the rest of the way or comes back down to Earth. Regardless of how the rest of the season plays out, this one was certainly shocking, enough so I waited another day to make sure I was reading it right.
In girls basketball, there was another score that not many people would have seen coming though there was a sign it could be a competitive game. Ichabod Crane defeated Schalmont in Colonial Council play by 20 points. As with the FP-SC boys game a close game could have been expected and wouldn't have been a shock. Entering the game Schalmont had a 5-1 record though several of their games were close and their opponents are now 7-10 against other Colonial Council teams. IC on the other hand may have been 0-4, but their opponents are now 10-5. Voorheesville is their only common opponent to date and both games were remarkably close with both IC and Schalmont each losing by 2.
I'm still trying to get a grasp on the Suburban. Bethlehem has been looking pretty solid and already have one win over Colonie. They should continue to get better as the season progresses as the Giacone sisters are only a Freshman and Sophomore and the rest of the team is pretty young too. Shaker looks to be the team to beat on the other side with Shen taking one on the chin from Colonie. Shen's wins haven't been as impressive as Shaker's and though it remains to be seen whether or not Shaker can match-up against Colonie and Bethlehem, Shaker is the only real threat coming out of the North Division.
No, I'm talking about Saratoga Catholic's 47 point win over Fort Plain. Fort Plain had been undefeated in WAC play and though every game had been close with the exception of their win over Galway, the same could be said for Saratoga Catholic. SC additionally had a loss to St. Johnsville who was 0-3 excluding that win. The MOV was 9 points more than SC's win over Galway who is has yet to win a game and is averaging losses of 40 points per game.
I would not have been surprised if you told me it was a 4 or 7 point win. With Galway the one exception this is probably the most competitive division in terms of how evenly matched each team has been so far. 9 games have been under 10 points, 4 have been 10 or over and the other 4 were games in which Galway played. I will be interesting to see how each team responds to this game. Whether Fort Plain bounces back or folds, and if SC can build on this and take it the rest of the way or comes back down to Earth. Regardless of how the rest of the season plays out, this one was certainly shocking, enough so I waited another day to make sure I was reading it right.
In girls basketball, there was another score that not many people would have seen coming though there was a sign it could be a competitive game. Ichabod Crane defeated Schalmont in Colonial Council play by 20 points. As with the FP-SC boys game a close game could have been expected and wouldn't have been a shock. Entering the game Schalmont had a 5-1 record though several of their games were close and their opponents are now 7-10 against other Colonial Council teams. IC on the other hand may have been 0-4, but their opponents are now 10-5. Voorheesville is their only common opponent to date and both games were remarkably close with both IC and Schalmont each losing by 2.
I'm still trying to get a grasp on the Suburban. Bethlehem has been looking pretty solid and already have one win over Colonie. They should continue to get better as the season progresses as the Giacone sisters are only a Freshman and Sophomore and the rest of the team is pretty young too. Shaker looks to be the team to beat on the other side with Shen taking one on the chin from Colonie. Shen's wins haven't been as impressive as Shaker's and though it remains to be seen whether or not Shaker can match-up against Colonie and Bethlehem, Shaker is the only real threat coming out of the North Division.
Friday, December 21, 2012
Week Four Leading Scorer Tally
This is the last week I'll be posting this list in a post form. I'm going to create a page for each boys and girls and update it when I have time. At some point it will include all the games and maybe then I'll write something out about it in its totality. For now, it's taking too much time and I don't think it's really giving that much useful information. For the most part, the important items to take away from the exercise are that 1) with the exception of a dozen or so quality scorers on less than competitive teams the team that scores the most points usually has the higher single scorer as well and thus, wins the game, 2) there are probably a few less of these scorers in girls high school basketball than in boys which is why the girls have less leading scorers on the losing team and, 3) there isn't any predictive value about the results since we don't know until after the game who had the high scorer. Instead of using the game results, you could look at which team has the scorer with the highest average before the game, and I may look at that in the off-season but I need to refine my data collection efforts to make it sustainable as an in season analysis.
Regardless, I wanted to highlight individual performance a bit on this blog and this is one way to do it so keep checking back on the pages once they are up. I will be updating them periodically.
Boys Week 4 - 12/11/12 - 12/17/12
Dean Mazzaccelli, Taconic Hills, Neutral floor Waterford, 16 pts (12/8/12), W 91-26-10
Jordan Gleason and Tyler McLeod, Watervliet, @ Cobleskill, 18 pts each, W 105-31-12
Jared Beattie, Granville, @ Fair Haven, 25 pts, L 105-32-12
Kalob Russell, Northville, vs. St. Johnsville, 17 pts, W 106-32-12
Luke VanDixhorn, South Glens Falls, @ Hudson Falls, 22 pts, W 107-32-12
Hunter Goodwin, Gloversville, vs. Broadalbin-Perth, 15 pts, W 108-32-12
Joe Cremo, Scotia-Glenville, vs. Johnstown, 21 pts, W 109-32-12
Charles Peltz, Queensbury, @ Glens Falls, 29 pts, L 109-33-12
Dillan Veeder, Canajoharie, vs. Fort Plain, 17 pts, L 109-34-12
Corey Rathjen, Germantown, vs. Hawthorne Valley, 19 pts, W 110-34-12
Matt Yamin, Loudonville Christian, @ Heatly, 27 pts, W 111-34-12
Andrew Hoag, Hoosick Falls, @ Greenwich, 16 pts, W 112-34-12
Shane Lyon, Schuylerville, @ Cambridge, 18 pts, W 113-34-12
Jared Beattie, Granville, @ Hoosic Valley, 23 pts, L 113-35-12
Shawn Pondillo, Rensselaer, vs. Cairo-Durham, 17 pts, L 113-36-12
Logan Samarija, Maple Hill, vs. Hudson, 22 pts, L 113-37-12
Ryan Havlick, Taconic Hills, vs. Chatham, 14 pts, W 114-37-12
Travis Overby, Chatham, @ Waterford, 23 pts (12/9/12), W 115-37-12
Jordan Brantley, Catskill, vs. Coxsackie-Athens, 27 pts, W 116-37-12
Elijah Burns, LaSalle, vs. Bishop Maginn, 16 pts, W 117-37-12
Rory Siy, Doane Stuart, @ New Lebanon, 26 pts, W 118-37-12
Brian Brooks and Anthony Mack, Catholic Central, @ Bishop Gibbons, 20 pts each, W 123-38-12
Jared Beattie, Granville, @ Hoosick Falls, 17 pts, L 123-39-12
Shane Lyon, Schuylerville, vs. Stillwater, 18 pts, W 124-39-12
Ethan Ross-Hixson, Hoosic Valley, @ Tamarac, 17 pts, W 125-39-12
Colin Oswald, Greenwich, vs. Cambridge, 19 pts, W 126-39-12
George Lehoisky and Nick Sapienza, Fort Ann and North Warren, 15 pts each, T 126-39-13
Josh Hoagland, Whitehall, vs. Lake George, 24 pts, L 126-40-13
Joey Lufkin, Argyle, @ Hadley-Luzerne, 32 pts, W 127-40-13
Nate Burkhardt, Fort Edward, @ Corinth, 13 pts, L 127-41-13
Kyle Hall, Maple Hill, vs. Taconic Hills, 25 pts, L 127-42-13
Jordan Brantley, Catskill, @ Hudson, 26 pts, W 128-42-13
Shawn Pondillo, Rensselaer, @ Greenville, 16 pts, W 129-42-13
John Sica, Bethlehem, vs. Colonie, 19 pts, W 130-42-13
Conrad Zampier, Columbia, vs. Averill Park, 24 pts, W 131-42-13
Grant Massaroni, Mohonasen, vs. Guilderland, 30 pts, L 131-43-13
Jeremy Mendrick, Ballston Spa, @ Shenendehowa, 22 pts, W 132-43-13
Robert Knightes, Burnt Hills, vs. Niskayuna, 23 pts, W 133-43-13
Christopher Byno, Saratoga Springs, @ Shaker, 18 pts, L 133-44-13
Malik Miller, Lansingburgh, vs. Mechanicville, 18 pts, W 134-44-13
Shane Morris, Ichabod Crane, @ Germantown , 18 pts, W 135-44-13
Tyler Bianchine, Sharon Springs, vs. Schoharie, 20 pts, L 135-45-13
Mudge, Hunter-Tannersville, vs. Coxsackie-Athens, 24 pts, W 136-45-13
Brandon LaForest, Cohoes, @ Ravena, 20 pts, W 137-45-13
Ryan Czarnecki, Saratoga Catholic, vs. Northville, 21 pts, W 138-45-13
Everest, Johnstown, vs. South Glens Falls, 22 pts, L 138-46-13
Asa Barnhill, Gloversville, @ Glens Falls, 18 pts, L 138-47-13
Ben Bellandi, Broadalbin-Perth, @ Queensbury, 22 pts, W 139-47-13
Andrew Tabbert, Scotia-Glenville, @ Hudson Falls, 24 pts, W 140-47-13
Dominic Caputo, Schalmont, vs. Voorheesville, 27 pts, W 141-47-13
Caleb Steward, Mekeel Academy, vs. Berne-Knox, 37 pts, W 142-47-13
Nick Sapienza, North Warren, vs. Hadley-Luzerne, 25 pts, W 143-47-13
Mat Yamin, Loudonville Christian, vs. Hawthorne Valley, 29 pts, W 144-47-13
Greg Depaolis, Berlin, vs. New Lebanon, 30 pts, W 145-47-13
Austin Horton, Heatly, @ Germantown, 21 pts, L 145-48-13
Girls Week 4 - 12/11/12 - 12/17/12
Lyndsey Wadsworth, Northville, @ St. Johnsville, 18 pts, W 105-19-4
Frankie Pearson, Hoosick Falls, vs. Greenwich, 25 pts, W 106-19-4
Jenna Erickson, Tamarac, vs. Stillwater, 20 pts, W 107-19-4
Cassidy Chapko, Hoosic Valley, @ Granville, 24 pts, W 108-19-4
Cayla Heffern, Heatly, @ Berlin, 10 pts, W 109-19-4
Cassidy Allen, Loudonville Christian, @ Hawthorne Valley, 9 pts, W 110-19-4
Emia Willingham-Hurst, Albany, @ Schenectady, 21 pts, W 111-19-4
Cortlynn Jepsen, Hudson, @ Maple Hill, 14 pts, L 111-20-4
Kelly Meyer, Catskill, vs. Coxsackie-Athens, 20 pts, W 112-20-4
Ashley Acker, Shenendehowa, vs. Saratoga Springs, 15 pts, W 113-20-4
Madison Rowland, Shaker, vs. Burnt Hills, 17 pts, W 114-20-4
Gabby Giacone, Bethlehem, vs. Guilderland, 22 pts, W 115-20-4
Sydnie Rosales, Colonie, @ Averill Park, 25 pts, L 115-21-4
Kelsey Cowell, Mohonasen, vs. Columbia, 23 pts, L 115-22-4
Emilie Benton, Nisakyuna, vs. Ballston Spa, 12 pts, W 116-22-4
Nera Brajac, Cohoes, @ Lansingburgh, 16 pts, W 117-22-4
Anna Feller, Voorheesville, @ Fonda-Fultonville, 22 pts, L 117-23-4
Hope Rebeor, Ravena, vs. Ichabod Crane, 22 pts, W 118-23-4
Hannah Friend, Holy Names, vs. Mechanicville, 21 pts, W 119-23-4
Hailee Metzold, Schalmont, vs. Albany Academy, 17 pts, W 120-23-4
Ailayia Demand, Watevliet, vs. Cobleskill, 24 pts, W 121-23-4
Cristiana Johnson, Amsterdam, vs. Bishop Gibbons, 13 pts, W 122-23-4
Kiana Patterson, Troy, @ Catholic Central, 15 pts, W 123-23-4
Elizabeth Harvey, Berne-Knox, vs. Greenville, 19 pts, W 124-23-4
Abby Spagnola, Galway, vs. Mayfield, 13 pts, W 125-23-4
Haley Kilmartin, Fort Plain, vs. Canajoharie, 17 pts, W 126-23-4
Sam Godfrey, Fort Edward, vs. Whitehall, 17 pts, W 127-23-4
Hannah Murphy, Corinth, @ North Warren, 16 pts, W 128-23-4
Jordan Aubin, Fort Ann, @ Salem, 23 pts, W 129-23-4
Jacquelyn Miller, Argyle, vs. Hartford, 20 pts, W 130-23-4
Erin Langworthy, Warrensburg, @ Bolton, 15 pts, W 131-23-4
Brittany Hoose, Cairo-Durham, @ Rensselaer, 10 pts, W 132-23-4
Shelby Preston, Ravena, @ Cohoes, 25 pts, L 132-24-4
Jillian Davis, Queensbury, @ Broadalbin-Perth, 27 pts, W 133-24-4
Brianna O'Rourke and Alexis Smith, Johnstown and South Glens Falls, 17 pts each, T 133-24-5
Madison Purcell, Catholic Central, vs. Bishop Gibbons, 21 pts, W 134-24-5
Lyndsey Wadsworth, Northville, vs. Saratoga Catholic, 22 pts, W 135-24-5
Rachel Pine, Hoosick Falls, @ Granville, 21 pts, W 136-24-5
Tori Menneto, Stillwater, vs. Schuylerville, 18 pts, W 137-24-5
Jenna Erickson, Tamarac, @ Hoosic Valley, 17 pts, L 137-25-5
Sarah Cuddihy, Cambridge, vs. Greenwich, 14 pts, L 137-26-5
3 tied with 15, New Lebanon @ Berlin, T 137-26-6
Jordan Aubin, Fort Ann, vs. North Warren, 25 pts, W 138-26-6
Jenelle Dillenbeck, Canajoharie, @ Mayfield, 16 pts, W 139-26-6
Elizabeth Harvey, Berne-Knox, vs. Mekeel Academy, 35 pts, W 140-26-6
Emily Gaige, Schoharie, vs. Sharon Springs, 17 pts, W 141-26-6
Amanda Roney, Middleburgh, @ Duanesburg, 16 pts, W 142-26-6
Brittney Putorti, Whitehall, @ Lake George, 16 pts, L 142-27-6
Jacquelyn Miller, Argyle, vs. Hadley-Luzerne, 25 pts, W 143-27-6
Erin Langworthy, Warrensburg, vs. Salem, 18 pts, W 144-27-6
Hannah Murphy, Corinth, @ Fort Edward, 14 pts, L 144-28-6
Morgan Wicks, Hartford, vs. Bolton, 18 pts, W 145-28-6
Lindsay Mannion, Maple Hill, @ Taconic Hills, 11 pts, W 146-28-6
Cortlynn Jepsen, Hudson, @ Catskill, 23 pts, W 147-28-6
Heather Carl, Greenville, @ Rensselaer, 17 pts, W 148-28-6
Carly Boland, Shenendehowa, @ Ballston Spa, 26 pts, W 149-28-6
Jaclyn Welch, Colonie, vs. Bethlehem, 17 pts, L 149-29-6
Madison Rowland, Shaker, @ Saratoga Springs, 29 pts, W 150-29-6
Lauren Von Roy and Caraline Wood, Averill Park vs. Columbia 18 pts each, W 151-29-6
Shannon Mackesey, Guilderland, vs. Mohonasen, 10 pts, W 152-29-6
Morgan Sullivan, Burnt Hills, @ Niskayuna, 11 pts, W 153-29-6
Hailee Metzold, Schalmont, @ Voorheesville, 15 pts, L 153-30-6
De'Janaire Deas, Holy Names, vs. Ichabod Crane, 11 pts, W 154-30-6
Tabia Gamble and Aubrie Zecca, Lansingburgh and Mechanicville, 14 pts each, T 154-30-7
Ailayia Demand, Watervliet, @ Albany Academy, 19 pts, W 155-30-7
Emily Parslow, Fonda-Fultonville, vs. Cobleskill, 26 pts, L 155-31-7
Rachel Emery, Loudonville Christian, @ Doane Stuart, 13 pts, W 156-31-7
Shiann Coons, Bishop Maginn, vs. South Glens Falls, 22 pts, L 156-32-7
Nicole Conley, Scotia-Glenville, vs. Hudson Falls, 15 pts, W 157-32-7
Carly Brazil and Abby Fountain, Waterford, vs. Heatly, 15 pts each, W 158-32-7
Hannah Bowersox, Schoharie, vs. Fort Plain, 20 pts, L 158-33-7
Kaylie Fish and Natalie Pikus, Saratoga Catholic, vs. Hartford, 10 pts each, W 159-33-7
Cayla Heffern, Heatly, vs. Germantown, 14 pts, W 160-33-7
Skylar Girard, Glens Falls, vs. South Glens Falls, 19 pts, W 161-33-7
Heather Carl, Greenville, @ Hudson, 15 pts, W 162-33-7
Regardless, I wanted to highlight individual performance a bit on this blog and this is one way to do it so keep checking back on the pages once they are up. I will be updating them periodically.
Boys Week 4 - 12/11/12 - 12/17/12
Dean Mazzaccelli, Taconic Hills, Neutral floor Waterford, 16 pts (12/8/12), W 91-26-10
Obokoh, Bishop Kearney, vs. Albany Academy ,
15 pts, W 92-26-10
Darius Macon and Syeed McPherson, Schenectady
and Albany , 18
pts, T 92-26-11
Christian Hodson, Ravena, @ Ichabod Crane, 21 pts, W 93-26-11
Will Turner, Fonda-Fultonville, @ Voorheesville, 37 pts, L 93-27-11
Eli Newsome, Cohoes ,
vs. Lansingburgh, 29 pts, W 94-27-11
Ralph Erickson, LaSalle, @ CBA, 16 pts, L 94-28-11
Dwayne Freeman, Bishop Gibbons, vs. Amsterdam , 27 pts, L 94-29-11
Anthony Mack, Catholic Central, @ Troy , 25 pts, L 94-30-11
Derek Durkee, Fort Ann , vs. Salem ,
30 pts, W 95-30-11
Delsharay Pryce, Argyle, @ Hartford , 24 pts, W 96-30-11
Justin Baird, Warrensburg, vs. Bolton ,
20 pts, W 97-30-11
Greg Rosenthal, Lake
George, vs. Hadley-Luzerne, 22 pts, W 98-30-11
Nick Sapienza, North Warren ,
@ Corinth, 29 pts, W 99-30-11
Matt McKenna, Bethlehem ,
@ Guilderland, 17 pts, W 100-30-11
Jake Samuels, Colonie, vs. Averill Park ,
22 pts, W 101-30-11
Conrad Zampier, Columbia ,
vs. Mohonasen, 43 pts, W 102-30-11
4 tied, Shenendehowa @ Saratoga Springs, 11 pts, T 102-30-12
Jeremy Mendrick, Ballston Spa, vs. Niskayuna ,
19 pts, W 103-30-12
Robert Knightes, Burnt Hills, vs. Shaker, 22 pts, L 103-31-12
Dylan Toscano, Mayfield, vs. Galway, 26 pts, W 104-31-12Jordan Gleason and Tyler McLeod, Watervliet, @ Cobleskill, 18 pts each, W 105-31-12
Jared Beattie, Granville, @ Fair Haven, 25 pts, L 105-32-12
Kalob Russell, Northville, vs. St. Johnsville, 17 pts, W 106-32-12
Luke VanDixhorn, South Glens Falls, @ Hudson Falls, 22 pts, W 107-32-12
Hunter Goodwin, Gloversville, vs. Broadalbin-Perth, 15 pts, W 108-32-12
Joe Cremo, Scotia-Glenville, vs. Johnstown, 21 pts, W 109-32-12
Charles Peltz, Queensbury, @ Glens Falls, 29 pts, L 109-33-12
Dillan Veeder, Canajoharie, vs. Fort Plain, 17 pts, L 109-34-12
Corey Rathjen, Germantown, vs. Hawthorne Valley, 19 pts, W 110-34-12
Matt Yamin, Loudonville Christian, @ Heatly, 27 pts, W 111-34-12
Andrew Hoag, Hoosick Falls, @ Greenwich, 16 pts, W 112-34-12
Shane Lyon, Schuylerville, @ Cambridge, 18 pts, W 113-34-12
Jared Beattie, Granville, @ Hoosic Valley, 23 pts, L 113-35-12
Shawn Pondillo, Rensselaer, vs. Cairo-Durham, 17 pts, L 113-36-12
Logan Samarija, Maple Hill, vs. Hudson, 22 pts, L 113-37-12
Ryan Havlick, Taconic Hills, vs. Chatham, 14 pts, W 114-37-12
Travis Overby, Chatham, @ Waterford, 23 pts (12/9/12), W 115-37-12
Jordan Brantley, Catskill, vs. Coxsackie-Athens, 27 pts, W 116-37-12
Elijah Burns, LaSalle, vs. Bishop Maginn, 16 pts, W 117-37-12
Rory Siy, Doane Stuart, @ New Lebanon, 26 pts, W 118-37-12
Will Turner, Fonda-Fultonville, @ Cobleskill, 22 pts, W 119-37-12
Ryan Hennessy and Dylan Toscano, Mayfield, @ Canajoharie, 20
pts each, L 119-38-12
Josh Orton, Waterford ,
vs. Doane Stuart, 19 pts, W 120-38-12
Greg Stire, CBA, vs. Albany ,
18 pts, W 121-38-12
Javion Ogunyemi, Troy ,
@ Schenectady ,
25 pts, W 122-38-12Brian Brooks and Anthony Mack, Catholic Central, @ Bishop Gibbons, 20 pts each, W 123-38-12
Jared Beattie, Granville, @ Hoosick Falls, 17 pts, L 123-39-12
Shane Lyon, Schuylerville, vs. Stillwater, 18 pts, W 124-39-12
Ethan Ross-Hixson, Hoosic Valley, @ Tamarac, 17 pts, W 125-39-12
Colin Oswald, Greenwich, vs. Cambridge, 19 pts, W 126-39-12
George Lehoisky and Nick Sapienza, Fort Ann and North Warren, 15 pts each, T 126-39-13
Josh Hoagland, Whitehall, vs. Lake George, 24 pts, L 126-40-13
Joey Lufkin, Argyle, @ Hadley-Luzerne, 32 pts, W 127-40-13
Nate Burkhardt, Fort Edward, @ Corinth, 13 pts, L 127-41-13
Kyle Hall, Maple Hill, vs. Taconic Hills, 25 pts, L 127-42-13
Jordan Brantley, Catskill, @ Hudson, 26 pts, W 128-42-13
Shawn Pondillo, Rensselaer, @ Greenville, 16 pts, W 129-42-13
John Sica, Bethlehem, vs. Colonie, 19 pts, W 130-42-13
Conrad Zampier, Columbia, vs. Averill Park, 24 pts, W 131-42-13
Grant Massaroni, Mohonasen, vs. Guilderland, 30 pts, L 131-43-13
Jeremy Mendrick, Ballston Spa, @ Shenendehowa, 22 pts, W 132-43-13
Robert Knightes, Burnt Hills, vs. Niskayuna, 23 pts, W 133-43-13
Christopher Byno, Saratoga Springs, @ Shaker, 18 pts, L 133-44-13
Malik Miller, Lansingburgh, vs. Mechanicville, 18 pts, W 134-44-13
Shane Morris, Ichabod Crane, @ Germantown , 18 pts, W 135-44-13
Tyler Bianchine, Sharon Springs, vs. Schoharie, 20 pts, L 135-45-13
Mudge, Hunter-Tannersville, vs. Coxsackie-Athens, 24 pts, W 136-45-13
Brandon LaForest, Cohoes, @ Ravena, 20 pts, W 137-45-13
Ryan Czarnecki, Saratoga Catholic, vs. Northville, 21 pts, W 138-45-13
Everest, Johnstown, vs. South Glens Falls, 22 pts, L 138-46-13
Asa Barnhill, Gloversville, @ Glens Falls, 18 pts, L 138-47-13
Ben Bellandi, Broadalbin-Perth, @ Queensbury, 22 pts, W 139-47-13
Andrew Tabbert, Scotia-Glenville, @ Hudson Falls, 24 pts, W 140-47-13
Dominic Caputo, Schalmont, vs. Voorheesville, 27 pts, W 141-47-13
Caleb Steward, Mekeel Academy, vs. Berne-Knox, 37 pts, W 142-47-13
Nick Sapienza, North Warren, vs. Hadley-Luzerne, 25 pts, W 143-47-13
Mat Yamin, Loudonville Christian, vs. Hawthorne Valley, 29 pts, W 144-47-13
Greg Depaolis, Berlin, vs. New Lebanon, 30 pts, W 145-47-13
Austin Horton, Heatly, @ Germantown, 21 pts, L 145-48-13
Girls Week 4 - 12/11/12 - 12/17/12
Lyndsey Wadsworth, Northville, @ St. Johnsville, 18 pts, W 105-19-4
Frankie Pearson, Hoosick Falls, vs. Greenwich, 25 pts, W 106-19-4
Jenna Erickson, Tamarac, vs. Stillwater, 20 pts, W 107-19-4
Cassidy Chapko, Hoosic Valley, @ Granville, 24 pts, W 108-19-4
Cayla Heffern, Heatly, @ Berlin, 10 pts, W 109-19-4
Cassidy Allen, Loudonville Christian, @ Hawthorne Valley, 9 pts, W 110-19-4
Emia Willingham-Hurst, Albany, @ Schenectady, 21 pts, W 111-19-4
Cortlynn Jepsen, Hudson, @ Maple Hill, 14 pts, L 111-20-4
Kelly Meyer, Catskill, vs. Coxsackie-Athens, 20 pts, W 112-20-4
Ashley Acker, Shenendehowa, vs. Saratoga Springs, 15 pts, W 113-20-4
Madison Rowland, Shaker, vs. Burnt Hills, 17 pts, W 114-20-4
Gabby Giacone, Bethlehem, vs. Guilderland, 22 pts, W 115-20-4
Sydnie Rosales, Colonie, @ Averill Park, 25 pts, L 115-21-4
Kelsey Cowell, Mohonasen, vs. Columbia, 23 pts, L 115-22-4
Emilie Benton, Nisakyuna, vs. Ballston Spa, 12 pts, W 116-22-4
Nera Brajac, Cohoes, @ Lansingburgh, 16 pts, W 117-22-4
Anna Feller, Voorheesville, @ Fonda-Fultonville, 22 pts, L 117-23-4
Hope Rebeor, Ravena, vs. Ichabod Crane, 22 pts, W 118-23-4
Hannah Friend, Holy Names, vs. Mechanicville, 21 pts, W 119-23-4
Hailee Metzold, Schalmont, vs. Albany Academy, 17 pts, W 120-23-4
Ailayia Demand, Watevliet, vs. Cobleskill, 24 pts, W 121-23-4
Cristiana Johnson, Amsterdam, vs. Bishop Gibbons, 13 pts, W 122-23-4
Kiana Patterson, Troy, @ Catholic Central, 15 pts, W 123-23-4
Elizabeth Harvey, Berne-Knox, vs. Greenville, 19 pts, W 124-23-4
Abby Spagnola, Galway, vs. Mayfield, 13 pts, W 125-23-4
Haley Kilmartin, Fort Plain, vs. Canajoharie, 17 pts, W 126-23-4
Sam Godfrey, Fort Edward, vs. Whitehall, 17 pts, W 127-23-4
Hannah Murphy, Corinth, @ North Warren, 16 pts, W 128-23-4
Jordan Aubin, Fort Ann, @ Salem, 23 pts, W 129-23-4
Jacquelyn Miller, Argyle, vs. Hartford, 20 pts, W 130-23-4
Erin Langworthy, Warrensburg, @ Bolton, 15 pts, W 131-23-4
Brittany Hoose, Cairo-Durham, @ Rensselaer, 10 pts, W 132-23-4
Shelby Preston, Ravena, @ Cohoes, 25 pts, L 132-24-4
Jillian Davis, Queensbury, @ Broadalbin-Perth, 27 pts, W 133-24-4
Brianna O'Rourke and Alexis Smith, Johnstown and South Glens Falls, 17 pts each, T 133-24-5
Madison Purcell, Catholic Central, vs. Bishop Gibbons, 21 pts, W 134-24-5
Lyndsey Wadsworth, Northville, vs. Saratoga Catholic, 22 pts, W 135-24-5
Rachel Pine, Hoosick Falls, @ Granville, 21 pts, W 136-24-5
Tori Menneto, Stillwater, vs. Schuylerville, 18 pts, W 137-24-5
Jenna Erickson, Tamarac, @ Hoosic Valley, 17 pts, L 137-25-5
Sarah Cuddihy, Cambridge, vs. Greenwich, 14 pts, L 137-26-5
3 tied with 15, New Lebanon @ Berlin, T 137-26-6
Jordan Aubin, Fort Ann, vs. North Warren, 25 pts, W 138-26-6
Jenelle Dillenbeck, Canajoharie, @ Mayfield, 16 pts, W 139-26-6
Elizabeth Harvey, Berne-Knox, vs. Mekeel Academy, 35 pts, W 140-26-6
Emily Gaige, Schoharie, vs. Sharon Springs, 17 pts, W 141-26-6
Amanda Roney, Middleburgh, @ Duanesburg, 16 pts, W 142-26-6
Brittney Putorti, Whitehall, @ Lake George, 16 pts, L 142-27-6
Jacquelyn Miller, Argyle, vs. Hadley-Luzerne, 25 pts, W 143-27-6
Erin Langworthy, Warrensburg, vs. Salem, 18 pts, W 144-27-6
Hannah Murphy, Corinth, @ Fort Edward, 14 pts, L 144-28-6
Morgan Wicks, Hartford, vs. Bolton, 18 pts, W 145-28-6
Lindsay Mannion, Maple Hill, @ Taconic Hills, 11 pts, W 146-28-6
Cortlynn Jepsen, Hudson, @ Catskill, 23 pts, W 147-28-6
Heather Carl, Greenville, @ Rensselaer, 17 pts, W 148-28-6
Carly Boland, Shenendehowa, @ Ballston Spa, 26 pts, W 149-28-6
Jaclyn Welch, Colonie, vs. Bethlehem, 17 pts, L 149-29-6
Madison Rowland, Shaker, @ Saratoga Springs, 29 pts, W 150-29-6
Lauren Von Roy and Caraline Wood, Averill Park vs. Columbia 18 pts each, W 151-29-6
Shannon Mackesey, Guilderland, vs. Mohonasen, 10 pts, W 152-29-6
Morgan Sullivan, Burnt Hills, @ Niskayuna, 11 pts, W 153-29-6
Hailee Metzold, Schalmont, @ Voorheesville, 15 pts, L 153-30-6
De'Janaire Deas, Holy Names, vs. Ichabod Crane, 11 pts, W 154-30-6
Tabia Gamble and Aubrie Zecca, Lansingburgh and Mechanicville, 14 pts each, T 154-30-7
Ailayia Demand, Watervliet, @ Albany Academy, 19 pts, W 155-30-7
Emily Parslow, Fonda-Fultonville, vs. Cobleskill, 26 pts, L 155-31-7
Rachel Emery, Loudonville Christian, @ Doane Stuart, 13 pts, W 156-31-7
Shiann Coons, Bishop Maginn, vs. South Glens Falls, 22 pts, L 156-32-7
Nicole Conley, Scotia-Glenville, vs. Hudson Falls, 15 pts, W 157-32-7
Carly Brazil and Abby Fountain, Waterford, vs. Heatly, 15 pts each, W 158-32-7
Hannah Bowersox, Schoharie, vs. Fort Plain, 20 pts, L 158-33-7
Kaylie Fish and Natalie Pikus, Saratoga Catholic, vs. Hartford, 10 pts each, W 159-33-7
Cayla Heffern, Heatly, vs. Germantown, 14 pts, W 160-33-7
Skylar Girard, Glens Falls, vs. South Glens Falls, 19 pts, W 161-33-7
Heather Carl, Greenville, @ Hudson, 15 pts, W 162-33-7
Tuesday, December 18, 2012
First Thoughts on Tonight's Games 12/18/12
My first thought is I shouldn't have hit "send" on my last post. Although it does illustrate what I was talking about that LaSalle plays up (or down) to its competition with its loss tonight to Catholic Central. The part I was wrong about was that they are the third best team in the Big 10. While I think they are still close to Schenectady, I don't believe Schenectady will be having a loss like this on their schedule, especially after their strong performance tonight with a one point loss to CBA. All things being equal I still think the Big 10 is up for grabs with CBA the slight favorite, and they still do have 4 potential teams with Sectional championship pedigree.
All the scores aren't in yet, but I also noticed a couple teams continued dominance in their respective leagues tonight. Joe Cremo threw up another 20 in a 39 point win over Broadalbin-Perth and Joey Lufkin put up 28 in Argyle's 35 point win over Fort Ann. On the other side of the Adirondack, Joel Wincowski dropped 31 in a 40 point win over Warrensburg and Nigel Gray's 19 was the difference in Catskill's win over Maple Hill. Shaker might also be separating themselves in the Suburban with a 31 point win over Averill Park. Finally, in less dominant fashion, Fort Plain beat Northville in another low single digit WAC North game to stay undefeated in Conference play. All of these teams seem to be rolling and with the exception Fort Plain (only because a loss probably isn't an upset as every game is so close) I don't see any losses like LaSalle had tonight.
In the girls world there wasn't too much out of the ordinary. Scotia's two point win over Broadalbin-Perth was closer than I would have guessed, but in their case, a win is a win. Tamarac and Hoosic Valley continued their dominance in the Wasaren with strong performances from Tamarac's top two scorers, Jenna Erickson and Briana Matazinsky and from Hoosic Valley's Cassidy Chapko. Waterford also put up another huge win over Hawthorne Valley.
The most interesting game tonight was from the Colonial where we got a little clarity with Holy Names' 8 point win over Watervliet. Certainly not a blowout, but it cleared up the question as they are most likely the top two teams in the Colonial. As for the rest of the Conference, it's still a mess with 2, 4 and 5 point games in three of the other four games.
Overall, a good night of basketball with around 50 more games in the database. The first Sectional Forecast is rapidly approaching. I'm getting things ready now, so stay tuned.
All the scores aren't in yet, but I also noticed a couple teams continued dominance in their respective leagues tonight. Joe Cremo threw up another 20 in a 39 point win over Broadalbin-Perth and Joey Lufkin put up 28 in Argyle's 35 point win over Fort Ann. On the other side of the Adirondack, Joel Wincowski dropped 31 in a 40 point win over Warrensburg and Nigel Gray's 19 was the difference in Catskill's win over Maple Hill. Shaker might also be separating themselves in the Suburban with a 31 point win over Averill Park. Finally, in less dominant fashion, Fort Plain beat Northville in another low single digit WAC North game to stay undefeated in Conference play. All of these teams seem to be rolling and with the exception Fort Plain (only because a loss probably isn't an upset as every game is so close) I don't see any losses like LaSalle had tonight.
In the girls world there wasn't too much out of the ordinary. Scotia's two point win over Broadalbin-Perth was closer than I would have guessed, but in their case, a win is a win. Tamarac and Hoosic Valley continued their dominance in the Wasaren with strong performances from Tamarac's top two scorers, Jenna Erickson and Briana Matazinsky and from Hoosic Valley's Cassidy Chapko. Waterford also put up another huge win over Hawthorne Valley.
The most interesting game tonight was from the Colonial where we got a little clarity with Holy Names' 8 point win over Watervliet. Certainly not a blowout, but it cleared up the question as they are most likely the top two teams in the Colonial. As for the rest of the Conference, it's still a mess with 2, 4 and 5 point games in three of the other four games.
Overall, a good night of basketball with around 50 more games in the database. The first Sectional Forecast is rapidly approaching. I'm getting things ready now, so stay tuned.
Monday, December 17, 2012
Where Does LaSalle Stand in Big 10
There is a good article from Eric Medved about underclassmen scorers (please let me know if the link isn't working) in the section this year. It is a trend I also noticed and am trying to find the time to put some numbers to it so you can see just what he is talking about. Maintaining the scores database is going well, but the box scores database is taking a lot longer than I expected and I haven't even started the girls yet. So, I apologize for not getting more into the scorers as I had previously mentioned, but it's hard to keep up doing this part time.
What I did want to get into was another early trend I noticed with LaSalle. They have proven they belong in the conversation with a win over Troy and a single digit loss to CBA, but their other two wins over Amsterdam and Bishop Maginn make me wonder if they play more to the level of their competition. That's not necessarily a bad thing. It is certainly a good attribute to have to be able to get up for a big game, and perform. But, a 9 point win over, by all accounts, a mediocre Bishop Maginn and a 24 point win over an Amsterdam team that is over matched in the Big 10 don't exactly send chills up your spine. Right now I would put them a solid third just ahead of Schenectady and just behind Troy. I am curious to see how they respond in the next few games and their rematches with CBA and Troy.
If LaSalle comes out of league play as the 3rd seed in the Big 10 and keeps up their trend of playing up to their competition, they could be very dangerous in sectionals.
What I did want to get into was another early trend I noticed with LaSalle. They have proven they belong in the conversation with a win over Troy and a single digit loss to CBA, but their other two wins over Amsterdam and Bishop Maginn make me wonder if they play more to the level of their competition. That's not necessarily a bad thing. It is certainly a good attribute to have to be able to get up for a big game, and perform. But, a 9 point win over, by all accounts, a mediocre Bishop Maginn and a 24 point win over an Amsterdam team that is over matched in the Big 10 don't exactly send chills up your spine. Right now I would put them a solid third just ahead of Schenectady and just behind Troy. I am curious to see how they respond in the next few games and their rematches with CBA and Troy.
If LaSalle comes out of league play as the 3rd seed in the Big 10 and keeps up their trend of playing up to their competition, they could be very dangerous in sectionals.
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