There are two huge scores tonight in boys basketball. Couple them together with the Green Tech win over Schenectady and it looks like there is a trend away from the Big 10 atop the AA bracket. Let's sum up what just happened in the in-section games.
Schenectady lost to Green Tech by 31
CBA lost to Bethlehem by 11
LaSalle lost to Colonie by 6
Without playing a game, the current top team in the Big 10 took a blow to their strength of schedule by losses from the three teams directly behind them. Troy has a 2-1 record against those 3 teams and a positive point differential of 13. Though at this point we can probably take Troy's loss as a bit of a fluke, Green Tech's MOV is 2 and a half times greater than that after just one game.
CBA's 11 point loss is exactly the same MOV Bethlehem had over Colonie, whose 6 point win over LaSalle is just 2 points different than LaSalle's loss to CBA. That puts CBA on roughly the same line as Colonie, with Bethlehem a few baskets ahead. Troy falls somewhere in the middle, though closer to CBA than Bethlehem. And this doesn't even talk about Shaker who in the 3 games they have with common opponents of Bethlehem have a 70 MOV, while Bethlehem has a 72. We'll find out what the forecast says in a couple more days, but using just these MOV's, I would put the AA in this order:
1. Green Tech
This is far from a perfect analysis, but three days ago it looked a lot different.