Girls First Round Common Opponent Analysis (COA)

I did mention this analysis takes forever right?  I'm only through the first round of the girls which means I have a long night ahead of me for the boys.  Basically, I use the head to head match-ups when I can and go out from there.  I stopped at common opponents five teams away, for example, Waterford played Duanesburg who played Columbia who played Tamarac who played Greenwich.  Even that is quite a bit of a stretch but for some of these match-ups you have to go that far just to get one point of reference.  By definition this means that there is less and less value in those types.  Luckily we have strength in numbers in most cases with at least four or more of those cases.  I'm still not entirely thrilled with it, but you have to have something.  I listed the average point variances of those common opponents as well so you can see how close things are.  I would say anything under 10 should be considered toss-ups which means the CHVL has the potential to get shut out in this sectionals.

COA

	Class AA
S1	Bethlehem	Bethlehem
B8	Bye
S6	Guilderland	Columbia	7
S5	Columbia
S3	Colonie	Colonie
B6	Bye
S7	Bye	Catholic Central
B2	Catholic Central
S2	Shaker	Shaker
B7	Bye
S6	Bye	Bishop Maginn
B3	Bishop Maginn
S4	Shenendehowa	Shenendehowa	33
S7	Niskayuna
S8	Bye	Albany
B1	Albany

	Class A
1	Troy	Troy
16	Bye
9	Amsterdam	South Glens Falls	14
8	South Glens Falls
5	Mohonasen	Mohonasen
12	Bye
13	Bye	Queensbury
4	Queensbury
3	Averill Park	Averill Park
14	Bye
11	Bye	Glens Falls
6	Glens Falls
7	Scotia-Glenville	Scotia-Glenville
10	Bye
2	Holy Names	Holy Names
15	Bye

	Class B
1	Watervliet	Watervliet	50
16	Emma Willard
9	Broadalbin-Perth	Schalmont	5
8	Schalmont
5	Taconic Hills	Taconic Hills	30
12	Catskill
13	Ichabod Crane	Cohoes	18
4	Cohoes
3	Ravena	Ravena	14
14	Fonda-Fultonville
11	Hudson	Hudson Falls	26
6	Hudson Falls
7	Johnstown	Johnstown	19
10	Greenville
15	Albany Leadership	Tamarac	44
2	Tamarac

	Class C
1	Hoosic Valley	Hoosic Valley	16
16	Middleburgh
9	Lake George	Fort Plain	6
8	Fort Plain
5	Duanesburg	Duanesburg	6
12	Galway
13	Voorheesville	Hoosick Falls	14
4	Hoosick Falls
3	Berne-Knox	Berne-Knox	17
14	Canajoharie
11	Greenwich	Waterford	6
6	Waterford
7	Mekeel Academy	Mekeel Academy	2
10	Mechanicville
15	Albany Academy	Maple Hill	54
2	Maple Hill

	Class D
1	Fort Edward	Fort Edward
16	Bye
9	Germantown	Germantown	4
8	North Warren
5	Northville	Northville
12	Bye
13	Bye	Warrensburg
4	Warrensburg
3	Argyle	Argyle
14	Bye
11	Bolton	Bolton	1
6	Heatly
7	Hartford	Hartford	14
10	New Lebanon
15	Bye	Fort Ann
2	Fort Ann

One final note, I calculated off the teams I had winning the play-in games so I could do the whole tournament based on the original brackets and make it comparable to the others I've presented.  I'll also be doing it with the updated winners for comparisons sake.